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Inductive Fallacies: How Can inductive reasoning go wrong?

1. The hasty Generalization
2. The either or fallacy, or false dilemma
3. The questionable statistics
4. Contradictions and inconsistencies
5. The loaded question
6. The false analogy
7. False cause
8. The slippery slope

A formal fallacy is an error in logic that can be seen in the argument's form without an understanding of the argument's content.[1] All formal fallacies are specific types of non sequiturs.

  • Appeal to probability: assumes that because something could happen, it is inevitable that it will happen. This is the premise on which Murphy's law is based.
  • Argument from fallacy: assumes that if an argument for some conclusion is fallacious, then the conclusion itself is false.[2]
  • Base rate fallacy: making a probability judgement based on conditional probabilities, without taking into account the effect of prior probabilities.[3]
  • Conjunction fallacy: assumption that an outcome simultaneously satisfying multiple conditions is more probable than an outcome satisfying a single one of them.[4]
  • Correlative-based fallacies
  • Fallacy of necessity: a degree of unwarranted necessity is placed in the conclusion based on the necessity of one or more of its premises.
  • Homunculus fallacy: where a "middle-man" is used for explanation, this usually leads to regressive middle-man. Explanations without actually explaining the real nature of a function or a process. Instead, it explains the concept in terms of the concept itself, without first defining or explaining the original concept.
  • Is–ought problem: the inappropriate inference that because something is some way or other, it ought to be that way.[5]
  • Masked man fallacy (illicit substitution of identicals): the substitution of identical designators in a true statement can lead to a false one.[6]
  • Naturalistic fallacy: a fallacy that claims that if something is natural, pleasant, popular, etc. then it is good or right.
  • Nirvana fallacy: when solutions to problems are said not to be right because they are not perfect.
  • Package-deal fallacy: consists of assuming that things often grouped together by tradition or culture must always be grouped that way.